Thread: Caption This
View Single Post
  #40  
Old February 27, 2010, 12:09 AM
Zeeshan's Avatar
Zeeshan Zeeshan is offline
BC Staff
BC Editorial Team
 
Join Date: March 9, 2008
Posts: 25,601

Quote:
Originally Posted by Zunaid
Press conference on the eve of the first ODI against England.

What did Shakib say to make Siddons make that face?

Reporter: What are the chances Bangladesh will take this series?

Shakib: Well, it depends. It's imperative that we win the toss. According to Dempster-Shafer theory, if we have no information about the coin, then the we will assume that it'd be 50% head and 50% tail. Because of this ignorance, the belief of Head and the belief of Tail would be 0. For the fair coin scenario, the belief of Head would be 0.5, the belief of Tail would also be 0.5. An alternative parametrization can say that the probability of heads is p and tails is 1 − p. Upon ignorance, we say that p is uniformly distributed on the [0, 1] interval. Upon a fair coin assumption, we say that p = 0.5 with probability 1 and has other values with probability zero. Another kind of ignorance might be that p has some beta distribution on the interval [0, 1]. Can we ever say that we are totally ignorant or do we always have some belief? ...
__________________
The guy you hit? If he got a look at the plates, it won't even take that long. There's no play here. There's no angle, there's no champagne room. I'm not a miracle worker, I'm a janitor. The math on this is simple; the smaller the mess, the easier it is for me to clean up.
Reply With Quote