October 21, 2010, 11:05 AM
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Cricket Legend
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Join Date: February 20, 2006
Location: Washington D.C., USA
Favorite Player: David Warner
Posts: 3,484
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zunaid
Naive Bayesian. Really Naive.
Probability of a world class batsman in BD = B
Probability of a world class spinner in BD = S
Probability of a world class pacer in BD = P
Historically, in BD
P <<< S, but the inequality has been decreasing of late ...
And also,
P {Pakistan} >> P {India} > P {Bangladesh}, again the latter inequality is diminishing and I am wont to use "=" instead of ">".
Now the probability of a spinning-allrounder, naively is = B x S
Now the probability of a pacer-allrounder, naively is = B x P
Now since B, P and S < 1, the above allrounder probabilities are low and particularly low foe B x P in Bangladesh.
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Nicely done.
__________________
Bangladesh!
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