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Old March 15, 2012, 08:28 AM
fuadomar fuadomar is offline
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Join Date: February 6, 2011
Location: Lalmatia, Dhaka
Favorite Player: Bangladesh 11
Posts: 719
Default Stats and analysis of our bowlers in ODI with comparison

I have been going through some vibrant threads and pointed out couple of intense voice over the following:
1. Why Nazmul is not playing?
2. Why Razzak is playing?
3. Should we go with 2 pacers + 3 full time spinners or 3 pacers + 2 full time spinners?

I was just curious and gathered data. I took into ODI and List A in consideration and took the bunch of bowlers who are currently in the team except Sunny. Sunny's stat of ODI is not justified as he played only 2 ODI. I added Rubel in this list too.

Well, the statistics is pretty much interesting. I am putting it into words:

A. Economy Rate:

List A Vs. ODI deviation
a. There is a not single bowler in Bangladesh who has a better economy rate in ODI than List A (No surprise, but could be one)
b. Below is the deviation. Less deviation means that, the player performs at the same at both level. Higher percentage means that, the player performs outstandingly well in List A and couldn't reflect it in ODI. It doesn't mean that he is bad, it can mean that he is extremely good in List A.
> Shakib - .7 pc
> Shafiul - 1.2 pc
> Mashrafee - 1.52 pc
> Shahadat - 3.63 pc
> Razzak - 4.65 pc
> Nazmul - 6.04 pc
> Mahmudullah - 10.77 pc
c. You can almost certainly predict a BD player's economy rate by his List A performance. The ODI economy rate has not deviated more than 5pc for the most of the players. So, If a bowler gives away 40 runs in 10 over in List A, he will probably give 42 runs in international ODI.

ODI
I categorized economy rate in ODI according in 5 categories with different slabs. A means best, F means worst:

Category A: <= 4.5
> Shakib - 4.26
> Razzak - 4.5
Category B: > 4.5 and <= 5
> Mashrafee - 4.67
Category C: > 5 and <=5.5
> Nazmul - 5.09
> Mahmudullah - 5.14
> Rubel - 5.47
Category D: > 5.5 and <= 5.75
> Shahadat - 5.69
Category F: > 5.75
> Shafiul - 5.88

B. Average:

List A Vs. ODI deviation
> Shakib - 1.49 pc
> Shafiul - 3.69 pc
> Nazmul - 3.94 pc
> Mashrafe - 7.52 pc
> Rubel - 17.87 pc
> Razzak - 12. 30 pc
> Mahmudullah - 19.29 pc
> Shahadat - 21.14 pc

ODI
I categorized average in ODI according in 6 categories with different slabs. A means best, F means worst:

Category A: <=20
> None
Category B: >20 and <=25
> None
Category C: >25 and <=30
> Razzak - 28.29
> Shakib - 28.58
Category D: >30 and <=35
> Mashrafe - 31.01
> Rubel - 32.77
> Nazmul - 32.95
Category E: >35 and <=40
> Shafiul - 36.2
Category F - >35 and <=40
> Shahadat - 41.71
> Mahmudullah - 45.88

C. Strike Rate:

List A Vs. ODI deviation
Well, here is a surprise. There is a bowler in the team who has a better strike rate in ODI than list A. He is Nazmul. The trend deviates around 8 pc. Only exception is Shahadat. So, you can almost be certain that, if a bowlers takes wicket after 40 balls in List A, you can hope one after 44 balls in ODI!
Deviation:
> Nazmul - (1.77) pc
> Shakib - 0.07 pc
> Shafiul - 2.5 pc
> Mashrafee - 5.86 pc
> Razzak - 7.12 pc
> Mahmudullah - 7.66 pc
> Rubel - 9.48 pc
> Shahadat-17.06 pc

ODI:
I categorized strike rate in ODI according in 6 categories with different slabs. A means best, F means worst:

Category A: < 25
> None
Category B: > 25 and <=30
> None
Category C: > 30 and <=35
> None
Category D: > 35 and <=40
> Rubel - 35.8
> Shafiul - 36.9
> Razzak - 37.6
> Nazmul - 38.8
> Mash - 39.7
Category E: > 40 and <=45
> Shakib - 40.2
Category F:> 45
> Mahmudullah - 53.4

D. Wickets(Only in ODI):
> Razzak - 180 (in 130 Matches)
> Mash - 152 (in 121 Matches)
> Shakib - 156 (in 123 Matches)
> Shafiul - 50 (in 44 Matches)
> Rubel - 48 (in 37 Matches)
> Shahadat – 45 (in 47 Matches)
> Mahmudullah - 43 (in 77 Matches)
> Nazmul - 40 (in 36 Matches)

E. Wickets/match(Only in ODI):

This is not a good one as BD packs up in less run occationaly does give bowler less chance to fillup the full quota, thus reducing wicket taking oppurtunity. However, I did this to get some clue of wicket taking ability.

> Razzak 1.384
> Rubel 1.297
> Shakib 1.268
> Mashrafe 1.256
> Shafiul 1.136
> Nazmul 1.111
> Shahadat .957
> Mahmudullah .558

F. Top Three:
Highest wicket taker:
1. Razzak
2. Shakib
3. Mashrafe

Highest wicket/match:
1. Razzak
2. Rubel
3. Shakib

Best Economy:
1. Shakib
2. Razzak
3. Mashrafe

Best Avg:
1. Razzak
2. Shakib
3. Mashrafe

Best Strike Rate:
1. Rubel
2. Shafiul
3. Razzak

G. Ranking:
1 means top most, 7 means bottom most among these seven based on statistics.

Bowler ------Eco-----Avg --Strike--Wicket/Match #Wicket
Razzak ----- 2 ----- 1 ----- 3 --------- 1 ------------- 1
M'Ullah ----- 5 ----- 8 ----- 8 --------- 8 ------------- 7
Mashrafe --- 3 ----- 3 ----- 5 --------- 4 ------------- 3
Nazmul ----- 4 ----- 5 ----- 4 --------- 6 ------------- 8
Rubel --------6 ----- 4 ----- 1 --------- 2 ------------- 5
Shakib -------1 ----- 2 ----- 6 --------- 3 ------------- 2
Shafiul ------ 8 ----- 6 ----- 2 --------- 5 ------------- 4
Shahadat ----7 ----- 7 ----- 7 --------- 7 ------------- 6

Conclusion:
Suppose, I don't know watch cricket, I don't know about cricket, all I have is this statistics, then the conclusion is:
a. Razzak is undoubtedly the best bowler in ODI with best avg, wicket/match, wickets, 2nd best Economy rate and 3rd best average.
b. Shakib can be judged as 2nd despite his low strike rate
c. Mashrafee is the best among all the pacers.
d. Rubel and Shafiul has a better strike rate.
e. Mahmudullah is the worst of all as he is in bottom most in 3 Avg, Strike rate and wicket/match.
f. Shahadat is the worst following by Mahmudullah and undoubtedly worst among pace bowlers.
g. You can almost predict the performance of an upcmoing star by his List A performance with a 5 to 10pc deviation.

All are welcome to provide feedback.

Last edited by shuziburo; March 15, 2012 at 09:47 AM.. Reason: Mod edit. Corrected a typo.
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