You are missing two big changes
1) Change in venue - Saffers pitches have something for the bowlers and the grounds are bigger ('cept for the bullring). Witness IPL 2009's lower scores
2) Our two biggest scrooges have lost form from injury/action related layoffs. The two Ra's Razzak and Rasel were miserly in the 1st edition.
Our bowling - based on practice matches to date - and its inability to contain pure hitters on flat-track will see us having to beat Ireland to go through. Beating India's gonna be a toughie ...
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