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I think all four of them will get in. Pakistani government will not let their players play in the IPL that means clubs will be looking to buy more players to re-fill their squads. So instead of each club looking for 2 players they will now look to buy 3-4 players from this auction. So hopefully around 20-24 players will be signed and I think all four of them are good enough to be in the Top 24. Shakib is certain to get in and the other 3s cheap price tag will work in their favour.
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I posted this on another thread but I think it is more suitable here.